A special police camp in Grozny, the capital of the Chechen Republic of Russia, was attacked by drones. Russian military media said that a special police camp in Grozny, the capital of the Chechen Republic, was attacked by Ukrainian drones in the early hours of the 12 th. Up to now, the Ukrainian side has not responded.South Korea says economic and market uncertainties still exist.Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.
Market News: Australia and Papua New Guinea sign bilateral security agreement.South Korean President Yin Xiyue: The opposition party is trying to destroy South Korea's growth engine.Survey: Most Japanese companies expect Trump 2.0 to damage the business environment. According to a survey in Reuters, nearly three-quarters of Japanese companies expect Trump's second US presidency to have a negative impact on the business environment of Japanese companies. The reasons for concern include the planned tariff increase and trade tensions. The manager of a machinery manufacturer wrote in the survey: "It is difficult to predict his policies, which makes it difficult for our client company to make investment decisions"; Although 73% of the respondents said that Trump's second entry into the White House will not have a favorable impact on their business environment, the rest of the respondents expect a positive impact, including the expectation that domestic demand in the United States will expand through tax cuts, and energy and environmental policies may also be revised; When asked what measures they would take if Trump raised tariffs, two-thirds of the respondents said their business strategy was unlikely to change, 22% said they would cut costs, and 8% said they would work hard to expand their cultivation in markets outside the United States.
Under the interest rate cut cycle, the scale of domestic dollar wealth management doubled compared with the same period of last year. Although the Fed's expectation of continuing to cut interest rates is strong, the ability of domestic dollar wealth management products to "absorb gold" is still strong. Straight flush data shows that since January 2024, there are 756 newly established wealth management products with the word "USD". Among them, 30 new wealth management products with the word "USD" have been established since November, and most of them are fixed-income products. As of December 9, the scale of US dollar financial management reached 282 billion yuan, which has doubled compared with the scale of 140.4 billion yuan in December last year. Market analysts believe that although the Fed has entered the interest rate cut cycle, under the influence of many complicated factors, the US dollar still has support, and the attractiveness of US dollar wealth management products to investors is still there in the short term. However, investors also need to pay attention to market risk and exchange rate fluctuation risk, and rationally allocate related assets. (21st century business herald)South Korean President Yin Xiyue: I will face impeachment, investigation or any possible situation; My martial law attempt cannot constitute rebellion. Martial law is the president's decision to protect the country's freedom, democracy and constitutional order from the dictatorship of the opposition parliament.Japan's net foreign investment in Japanese stocks in the week of December 6 was 482.3 billion yen, with the previous value of-607.7 billion yen. Japan's net foreign investment in Japanese bonds in the week of December 6 was 1,006.4 billion yen, with the previous value of 176.1 billion yen. Japan bought a net foreign bond of-640.8 billion yen in the week of December 6, with the previous value of 922.4 billion yen. In the week of December 6th, Japan bought foreign stocks net-954.8 billion yen, with the previous value of-544.7 billion yen.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13